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Kansas State vs. Florida Atlantic pick

It may not be a matchup of blue bloods in the Elite Eight tonight when Kansas State plays Florida Atlantic in New York City, but it should still be a great game.

Caesars Sportsbook lists K-State as a two-point favorite and that feels right. The Wildcats have the size and playmaking ability to upend FAU.

KSU point guard Markquis Nowell has been one of the stories of the tournament after recording 19 assists in the Wildcats’ overtime win over Michigan State in the Sweet 16, which is an NCAA Tournament single-game record. He added 20 points in the win, fresh off a 27-point, 9-assist outing against Kentucky in the round of 32.

And Nowell is not a one-man show, either. K-State’s front line can hang with anyone with Keyontae Johnson, Nae’Qwan Tomlin, and David N’Guessan. Johnson leads the team in scoring with 17.7 points per game.

FAU takes more of a small-ball approach by starting four guards. Johnell Davis leads the way in scoring for the Owls (13.9 PPG), while 7-foot-1 Vladislav Goldin rounds out the rotation at center.

Both these teams enter Saturday’s matchup hot, so expect this to come down to the wire. I trust Nowell and Johnson to make plays late in a close game and get the win, so back K-State to cover with promo code NPBONUS1BET on Caesars Sportsbook.

The pick: KSU -2

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UConn vs. Arkansas prediction, odds

After two rounds defined by shocking upsets, three of the four favorites in Thursday’s opening night of the Sweet 16 are vulnerable to a late scare or even an outright upset. 

Connecticut is not one of them. 

The Huskies have been one of the most dominant teams in this tournament, beating Iona and Saint Mary’s by a combined 39 points ahead of Thursday’s matchup with Arkansas.

That’s nothing new for Danny Hurley’s group, which ranks fifth in average scoring margin (+13.8) despite facing one of the toughest schedules in the country. 

That hasn’t been a deterrent for this team, especially over the last month.


Betting on March Madness 2023?


UConn vs. Arkansas pick

(7:15 p.m. ET., CBS)

UConn ranks No. 1 in T-Rank across its current 8-1 run thanks to its elite offensive rebound rate (41.6 percent) and two-way dominance inside.

It’s one of just three teams (Houston, Texas) to rank in the top 15 across the entire season in offensive efficiency (third) and defensive efficiency (14th), per KenPom. 


Danny Hurley
Getty Images

Arkansas deserves credit for outworking Kansas on the boards on Saturday, grabbing 14 offensive rebounds — tied for its third-most all year — to pull off the second-round stunner.

But the Razorbacks will be hard-pressed to exert their size advantage against the Huskies and superstar center Adama Sanogo (6-foot-9, 245 pounds), who is playing like the single-most dominant force in college basketball. 

Since 2021, the Huskies are a perfect 19-0 when Sanogo scores at least 20 points, as he’s done in each of the last two rounds.

If the Hogs can’t slow him down on Thursday, this one won’t be close. 

UConn vs. Arkansas prediction

UConn -4.5 (FanDuel)

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NHL odds, pick Monday, March 20

Somehow, someway the Calgary Flames are still in the playoff race in the Western Conference.

The Flames enter play on Monday night trailing the Winnipeg Jets by four points for the final Wild Card spot, though the Flames have a game in hand. 

Eight of Calgary’s final 12 games are against teams outside the playoff picture, so getting a win against one of their most formidable opponents left on the docket would be a massive boost for the Flames.

Flames vs. Kings prediction

(10:30 p.m. ET., ESPN+)

Betting on the NHL?

When you look at their Win-Loss record, you’d think that the Flames are one of the most inconsistent teams in the NHL.

While that is definitely true to some extent, you could also suggest the Flames are consistent in the way they achieve inconsistent results. 

For the most part, Calgary has followed a familiar script this season.


Calgary Flames Defenceman MacKenzie Weegar (52) in action during the third period of an NHL game
Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The Flames tilt the ice at 5-on-5, but they aren’t clinical enough or don’t get strong enough goaltending to take advantage of the fact that they generally out-chance their opposition.

Through 70 games, the Flames rank third in the NHL in expected goal differential, second in shot attempt rate and 13th in high-danger scoring chance percentage.

A team with those kinds of numbers usually will find itself pretty comfortably in a playoff spot at the top of the stretch run, but unfortunately, the Flames are just about the most inefficient team in the NHL this season.

Calgary ranks 32nd in shooting percentage and 27th in save percentage on the year, rendering everything else the Flames do well moot.

Monday night profiles to be a pretty tough game for the Flames.

While Calgary have the ability to drive play against any opponent, the Kings are also a strong 5-on-5 team, ranking inside the top-10 in expected goals rate, high-danger chance percentage and shot attempt rate. 

And wouldn’t you know, the Kings are one of the few teams in the NHL with a lower save percentage than the Flames.


Kyle Burroughs #44 of the Vancouver Canucks dives for the puck next to Viktor Arvidsson #33 of the Los Angeles Kings
Getty Images

Given the profiles of these two teams, it makes sense that bookmakers have this contest priced close to a pick ’em, even if Los Angeles is comfortably ahead of Calgary in the standings.

But instead of backing one of these clubs to win, bettors can find some value by taking the +360 on the game to go to overtime.

The inconsistent goaltending is a bit scary for a bet like that, but it’s hard to see either one of these teams running away in this contest and it feels like there’s a decent chance this is a tightly played game where the 60-minute draw is always within reach.

Flames vs. Kings pick

Game to go to overtime (+360, FanDuel)

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Bettors react to March Madness bad beat in TCU-Gonzaga

It ain’t over ’til it’s over.

Even when the game has been decided.

Damion Baugh’s 3-pointer at the buzzer for TCU on Sunday night didn’t beat Gonzaga but it did cost a plenty of bettors by making the final score 84-81.

Of vital importance to the gambling world, Gonzaga were 4.5 point favorites.

At Circa Sports in Las Vegas, fans reacted as if the shot had won or lost the game — as it did mean winning or losing for their wallets.

Some gamblers could be seen with their arms raised in triumph, while others put their hands on their heads in disbelief.

Hunter Sallis had made two free throws with 0.7 seconds remaining to give No. 3-seeded Gonzaga an 84-78 lead.

Baugh, who had 15 points and eight rebound in the game, let the ensuing inbound pass cross midcourt before picking it up and nonchalantly hitting an unlikely 3-pointer.

ESPN’s Scott Van Pelt, who does a “Bad Beats” show tweeted, “Ohhhhh! What a 3 from TCU! Magnificent execution. #SignificanttoSome.”

Jordan Schultz, NFL insider for theScore, tweeted, “Maybe the worst Bad Beat I’ve seen all year. Insane TCU cover.”

Gonzaga advances to play play No. 2 UCLA in the Sweet 16 on Thursday, while TCU is heading home.

It was the second bad beat for gamblers on Sunday.

At the end of Florida Atlantic’s 78-70 win over Fairleigh Dickinson, FAU’s Alijah Martin missed a dunk in the final seconds.

The over/under for the matchup was 148.5.

One of the most infamous bad beats in NCAA Tournament history came in 2004, when Duke’s Chris Duhon hit a long 3 at the buzzer in a 79-78 Connecticut win in which the line was 2.5 points.



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Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace pick: Premier League predictions, odds

Sunday’s lone Premier League match will have massive ramifications at both ends of the table.

With a win over Crystal Palace, league-leaders Arsenal would go into the final international break of the season with an eight-point lead over Manchester City with one more match played.

Palace, meanwhile, are now firmly in the relegation battle with just three points separating them from the drop zone. 

Does Palace have a hope of pulling off one of the biggest results of the season?

Crystal Palace vs. Arsenal pick

Patrick Vieira’s Crystal Palace were one of the most impressive teams in the Premier League last season.

The Eagles punched above their weight en route to a 12th-place finish and their expected goal difference suggested they deserved even better. 

Palace’s defense was the driving force behind its success, as the Eagles finished seventh in goals conceded and fifth in expected goals allowed.

That defensive performance is what made Crystal Palace a trendy sleeper pick for the 2022-23 season.

Palace then backed up all that hype with a terrific showing on the Opening Day of the season.

Though they lost, 2-0, to Arsenal, Palace looked a tough nut to crack and probably deserved a better result on that day. Everything was looking up for the Eagles.


Wilfried Zaha of Crystal Palace
Getty Images

Unfortunately, things have gone awry since that day.

The Eagles have struggled in all phases of the game, but the defense has completely lost the plot compared to what we saw in 2021-22.

The Eagles rank 12th in non-penalty expected goals allowed, 13th in big scoring chances conceded and are the fourth-worst team in the circuit in preventing the opposition from entering their 18-yard box.

It’s a strange twist of events considering this is basically the same unit we saw last year with the same manager.

Arsenal should have no issues breaking down this Palace defense.

Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps

The Gunners take more shots and create more box entries than any team in the Premier League and rank second in both expected goals created and big scoring chances generated.

Arsenal can likely name their score on Sunday.

That said, there are some cracks starting to show in the Arsenal defense.

After a brilliant first half of the season, the Gunners have seen their defensive numbers dip a bit since the World Cup break.

Arsenal still boasts one of the best defenses in the world, but their form has wobbled and Palace could find a way on the scoresheet.

Arsenal should do most of the heavy-lifting for this over 3.5, but Palace can contribute, too.

Crystal Palace vs. Arsenal prediction

Over 3.5 goals (+195, FanDuel)

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Best March Madness sports betting sign-up offers and promo codes

Blast the March Madness theme music because the men’s NCAA Tournament begins today with 16 games across the country from Orlando to Sacramento.

With so many new sports betting options, which sportsbook is the best for you? We ranked the top five March Madness sports betting sites so you can make the best bets for Thursday’s action.

Take a peek at list below to find out which offer works best for you.

Best March Madness Sports Betting Offers and Promo Codes

1. BetMGM Sportsbook

BetMGM is well worth the top spot on this list and comes to the table with a great new customer offer that lets you get up to $1,000 back in bonus bets if your first bet loses. That means you’ll get refunded in bonus bets equal to whatever you lost, up to $1,000.

You can access this offer by using bonus code NPBONUS when you sign up. Follow the link below learn more.

BetMGM March Madness Offer

BetMGM also comes to the table with a great March Madness offer that lets new customers get $200 in bonus bets by betting $10 on March Madness when they sign up. Just use bonus code NPBONUSCBB.

2. FanDuel Sportbook

FanDuel is one of the nation’s most popular sportsbooks and you can see why with a new customer offer like this. New customers can claim $200 in bonus bets after $20 first bet. In Massachusetts, new customers can make a $5 to get $200 in bonus bets.

FanDuel doesn’t have a promo code, so users can just click the button below to register and get their bonus bets.

3. Caesars Sportsbook

Up next is Caesars with its new customer offer that lets new users get back up to $1,250 in bonus bets if their first bet loses, similar to BetMGM’s offer except you’ve got more bet credits to work with. This offer can be claimed with promo code NPBONUSFULL.

Massachusetts residents can get up to $1,500 in bonus bets by signing up with promo code NPBONUS1BET.

4. bet365 Sportsbook

Coming in fourth is bet365, which comes to the table with another great offer. New bettors can use bonus code NYP365 on bet365 Sportsbook to get $365 in bonus bets just for placing a $1 bet when they sign up.

5. WynnBET Sportsbook

WynnBET rounds out the list with an excellent offer that lets new customers in Massachusetts get $100 in bet credits with just a $20 first bet at odds of -120 or higher. All you have to do is enter in the WynnBET promo code XNPBONUSNY to take advantage of the offer.

Massachusetts bettors can use WynnBET promo code XNPBONUSMA to get $100 in bet credits with just a $100 bet after signing up..

How first bet offers work

With 16 NCAA Tournament games throughout the day, there are plenty of interesting to use a sign-up offer from a sports book. Let’s go through how to use an offer so you know what to do.

If you win your first bet with the BetMGM promo code, you keep the winnings like its a normal bet and you can withdraw the money as soon as you’d like.

But let’s say you lose your first bet. What happens then?

If you were to sign up for BetMGM and place an initial wager for $200 that loses — you would still get back $200 in bet credits, aka bonus bets. The money that would have been lost in a losing bet instead gets transformed into bet credits that can be used for future bets.

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Golf odds, predictions, best bets

With The PLAYERS Championship done and dusted, the PGA Tour now begins its ramp-up towards The Masters, which begins on April 6 at Augusta National.

But there are three tournaments to go before we head down Magnolia Lane, including this week’s Valspar Championship at Copperhead Course in Palm Harbor, Fla. 

It is the last event in the Tour’s annual Florida Swing.

The Players Championship always features one of the deepest fields of the year and the Arnold Palmer Invitational usually attracts plenty of stars, so the entry list for the Valspar always seems a bit lacking because of its place on the calendar.

That said, we do have a few of the biggest names in the game making the trip to the Gulf Coast.

And the best news for handicappers is that neither Scottie Scheffler nor Jon Rahm are in town.

Scheffler and Rahm have combined for five wins in 2023 already.

With the top two players in the world sitting out, oddsmakers have installed Justin Thomas as the +1000 favorite with Jordan Spieth behind him at +1200.

Matthew Fitzpatrick and two-time defending champ Sam Burns are the only other golfers under +2000. 

With only a few of the elite players making the trip to Copperhead, the door should be open for a long shot to contend at the Valspar and that’s where I’m focusing this week:

Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps

Akshay Bhatia (+10000, BetMGM)

It looks like Bhatia is going to be a popular long shot this week and for good reason.

The 21-year-old has an extremely high ceiling and looks like he could be on the cusp of a breakthrough.

After turning pro at this event at the age of 19, Bhatia has now earned temporary status on the PGA Tour thanks to his second-place finish at the Puerto Rico Open last month.

That’s a huge weight of the shoulders of a young player with high expectations.


Akshay Bhatia
Getty Images

Bhatia has played a handful of Korn Ferry Tour events this year and the results have been what you’d expect from a young golfer trying to work his way to the big leagues.

Bhatia has two top-10 finishes and a couple of missed cuts, though he did make the weekend at the Honda Classic a couple weeks back. 

David Lingmerth (+12500, BetMGM)

It looks like Lingmerth is enjoying a bit of a resurgence on the PGA Tour.

His last win on the main stage came back in 2015 at the Memorial, but the 35-year-old Swede is in strong form to start 2023.

Lingmerth, who re-earned his PGA Tour card with a strong season on the Korn Ferry Tour in 2022, has four top-10 finishes in his last 10 starts including two of his last three outings.

Lingmerth is coming off a T6 showing at The PLAYERS, which suggests his game will play on this difficult Florida golf course.


David Lingmerth
Getty Images

Ben Taylor (+15000, BetMGM)

Another youngster, Taylor is off and running in 2023 with a pair of top-5 finishes in seven starts.

His latest impressive showing came at the Honda Classic where he finished T5 on another difficult track.

Backing Taylor at this number may be a stretch in deeper fields, but this event should be wide open and he’s proven already that he has contender upside in this set-up.

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Alabama vs. Texas A&M prediction: SEC Tournament odds, pick

Two NCAA tournament contenders match up for the SEC Tournament final on Sunday.

The controversial Brandon Miller will lead the Alabama Crimson Tide into a raucous environment in Nashville, Tennessee, to face the Texas A&M Aggies.

SEC Tournament: Alabama vs. Texas A&M

How to watch

Game time: 1 p.m. ET

TV: ESPN

Live Stream: ESPN+, fuboTV, Sling, YouTube TV, Hulu + Live TV


Betting on March Madness 2023?


Alabama vs. Texas A&M prediction

Alabama (-3.5) over Texas A&M: The Aggies have quietly become one of the nation’s most dangerous teams entering the NCAA Tournament.

Buzz Williams’ crew has lost just once since the start of February and knocked off five tournament teams, including a six-point win over Alabama last weekend.

However, that win came in College Station, where the Tide had their second-lowest scoring output of the season after shooting less than 34 percent from the field and 7-of-36 from deep.

In a matchup of two of the best teams in the nation at getting to the line, the Aggies shouldn’t expect to attempt 18 more free throws again.

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Picks to target Monday, Mar. 6

While it may be an oxymoron, happy Monday nonetheless.

We went a perfect 4-for-4 in last Monday’s NBA PrizePicks entry and will look to do the same this evening.

There are six games on the schedule and plenty of injuries that could change the available markets.

Keep in mind that the numbers constantly change throughout the day.

After thoroughly scanning the PrizePicks lobby, I have selected my four favorite picks for Monday night’s slate.


Damian Lillard headlines our NBA PrizePicks for Monday.
Getty

NBA PrizePicks predictions and picks Monday

Damian Lillard more than 35.5 points

If you haven’t noticed, Lillard is the hottest player in the NBA right now.

Instead of having ‘Dame Time’ in the fourth quarter of games, it’s been ‘Dame Time’ for weeks.

Over his last eight games, he has averaged 41.4 points per contest.

With Jusuf Nurkic (out), Anfernee Simons (out), and Josh Hart (traded) off the floor this season, Lillard has averaged 43.9 points per 36 minutes.

Given the tight spread of tonight’s game, he should see 36-to-38 minutes against the Pistons, who are 28th in defensive efficiency against point guards this season. 



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Bam Adebayo more than 8.5 rebounds

This selection is more based on matchup than anything else, but even at face value, this one stands out when you compare his prop to his season-long averages.

Adebayo has averaged 9.7 rebounds per game this season, well above the 8.5 mark we are looking for tonight.

Centers have had great success against the Hawks this season, especially on the glass.

Atlanta is a below-average rebounding team (18th) and their two centers (Clint Capela and Onyeka Okongwu) rarely leave the paint.

In three meetings against the Hawks so far this season, Adebayo has averaged 10.7 rebounds per game. 

Domantas Sabonis less than 7.5 assists 

Let’s keep this one simple – Sabonis has averaged 6.9 assists per game on the season and draws a below-average matchup against the Pelicans, who are ranked 15th in pace and ninth in defensive rating.

Sabonis has recorded fewer than 7.5 assists in 13 of his last 17 games.

There is a chance De’Aaron Fox (questionable) sits tonight, but Sabonis only averages 0.54 more assists per 36 minutes with Fox off the floor.

The less-than on this specific prop has been hitting at a very high clip, so there’s no need to rock the boat with this one. 


CJ McCollum #3 of the New Orleans Pelicans shoots the ball during the game against the Golden State Warriors
NBAE via Getty Images

Betting on the NBA?

CJ McCollum more than 26.5 points + rebounds

On the season, McCollum has averaged 21.1 points and 4.3 rebounds per game.

That’s slightly less than the total we are looking for tonight, but it doesn’t tell the entire story.

The Pelicans are currently without Zion Williamson, Josh Richardson, Jose Alvarado, and Larry Nance.

There’s also a decent chance Jonas Valanciunas (questionable) will be forced to miss another game.

With all of the injuries, McCollum has been playing big minutes and soaking up a ton of usage.

He may have to help out a bit more on the glass tonight.

The icing on the cake is a matchup against the Kings, ranked ninth in pace and 25th in defensive rating this season.

You can follow Justin Carlucci on Twitter @ThejCarlucci



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Fade Rangers in Patrick Kane’s debut

Thursday is a massive night in the NHL.

There are 10 games, and only one of them features two teams that are not in, or fighting for, a playoff spot. 

The real drama will take place in the Eastern Conference as five of the seven teams fighting for a Wild Card spot are in action.

Here are the best bets for Thursday night, including a play for Patrick Kane’s debut with the New York Rangers.

NHL picks Thursday

New York Rangers vs. Ottawa Senators

The Ottawa Senators scored two gigantic wins over the Detroit Red Wings early in the week and are now just five points back of Pittsburgh, and six behind the Islanders, in the Wild Card race. Ottawa also has four games in hand on the Isles. 

And this isn’t just some short run of form. The Sens have been trending up for quite some time now with a 10-3-1 record and +20 goal differential in their last 14 contests. 

Ottawa should be brimming with confidence as it heads into Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Rangers in Patrick Kane’s Broadway debut

The media frenzy and fan hype around Kane’s debut is absolutely worth monitoring for bettors. This number already looks a little high on the red-hot Sens, but it could get even higher as excitement builds closer to puck drop. 

Wait it out and lock in a bet on the Sens when the price peaks.

Rangers vs. Senators pick

Ottawa Senators +150 (Caesars)

Betting on the NHL?

Boston Bruins vs. Buffalo Sabres

Buffalo’s playoff chances were dealt a significant blow on Tuesday with a regulation loss to the lowly Columbus Blue Jackets, but that is par for the course with Buffalo this season.

The Sabres are now just 4-5 when they close at -180 or higher. But the other side of that coin is that Buffalo is 8-7 when its an underdog of +150 or longer. 

There’s logic behind these numbers, too. The Sabres are one of the highest-scoring teams in the NHL, but they also rank 25th in goals against average. In other words, Buffalo can score enough to keep pace with more talented teams, but it also gives up enough the other way to allow worse teams hang around. 


Dylan Cozens #24 of the Buffalo Sabres
NHLI via Getty Images

The Sabres will be without Rasmus Dahlin and Alex Tuch, but they are catching Boston in a tough schedule spot after traveling back from a road trip through Western Canada. There’s enough in this number to have a bet on Buffalo.

Bruins vs. Sabres pick

Buffalo Sabres +240 (BetMGM)

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