Hawkeyes will win national title

Iowa shocked the college basketball world when it halted South Carolina’s undefeated run to clinch a spot in Sunday’s national championship game.

And it’s hard to imagine betting against the Hawkeyes in the final.

Caitlin Clark was brilliant in Friday’s 77-73 semifinal win over the top-seeded Gamecocks, scoring or assisting on 75 percent of Iowa’s points to spark the team’s first win in the Final Four.

That’s nothing new for the Wooden Award winner, who ranks third in scoring (27.7 PPG) and first in assists (8.6 APG) across the entire season.

She’s upped those totals in the tournament, averaging 32.2 points and 10.4 assists en route to five Hawkeyes wins — with the first four coming by an average of 21 points.

That includes back-to-back 41-point efforts for Clark against two of the best teams in the country.

LSU deserves credit for its path to the title game, too, but Kim Mulkey’s group simply hasn’t been as dominant nor as battle-tested to this point.

The Tigers faced just two ranked opponents before the NCAA Tournament, which included a 24-point loss to the very South Carolina team that Iowa beat on Friday.

They also nearly lost to Utah in the Sweet 16 and trailed Virginia Tech by nine in the fourth quarter before rallying to set up Sunday’s showdown.

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LSU will have a size advantage in the final, but Iowa was the smaller team against South Carolina, too.

It didn’t matter with Clark’s sheer brilliance on display, and I’d expect a similar showing in this one.

The play: Iowa -3.5.

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UConn vs. Arkansas prediction, odds

After two rounds defined by shocking upsets, three of the four favorites in Thursday’s opening night of the Sweet 16 are vulnerable to a late scare or even an outright upset. 

Connecticut is not one of them. 

The Huskies have been one of the most dominant teams in this tournament, beating Iona and Saint Mary’s by a combined 39 points ahead of Thursday’s matchup with Arkansas.

That’s nothing new for Danny Hurley’s group, which ranks fifth in average scoring margin (+13.8) despite facing one of the toughest schedules in the country. 

That hasn’t been a deterrent for this team, especially over the last month.


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UConn vs. Arkansas pick

(7:15 p.m. ET., CBS)

UConn ranks No. 1 in T-Rank across its current 8-1 run thanks to its elite offensive rebound rate (41.6 percent) and two-way dominance inside.

It’s one of just three teams (Houston, Texas) to rank in the top 15 across the entire season in offensive efficiency (third) and defensive efficiency (14th), per KenPom. 


Danny Hurley
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Arkansas deserves credit for outworking Kansas on the boards on Saturday, grabbing 14 offensive rebounds — tied for its third-most all year — to pull off the second-round stunner.

But the Razorbacks will be hard-pressed to exert their size advantage against the Huskies and superstar center Adama Sanogo (6-foot-9, 245 pounds), who is playing like the single-most dominant force in college basketball. 

Since 2021, the Huskies are a perfect 19-0 when Sanogo scores at least 20 points, as he’s done in each of the last two rounds.

If the Hogs can’t slow him down on Thursday, this one won’t be close. 

UConn vs. Arkansas prediction

UConn -4.5 (FanDuel)

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Alabama vs. Texas A&M prediction: SEC Tournament odds, pick

Two NCAA tournament contenders match up for the SEC Tournament final on Sunday.

The controversial Brandon Miller will lead the Alabama Crimson Tide into a raucous environment in Nashville, Tennessee, to face the Texas A&M Aggies.

SEC Tournament: Alabama vs. Texas A&M

How to watch

Game time: 1 p.m. ET

TV: ESPN

Live Stream: ESPN+, fuboTV, Sling, YouTube TV, Hulu + Live TV


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Alabama vs. Texas A&M prediction

Alabama (-3.5) over Texas A&M: The Aggies have quietly become one of the nation’s most dangerous teams entering the NCAA Tournament.

Buzz Williams’ crew has lost just once since the start of February and knocked off five tournament teams, including a six-point win over Alabama last weekend.

However, that win came in College Station, where the Tide had their second-lowest scoring output of the season after shooting less than 34 percent from the field and 7-of-36 from deep.

In a matchup of two of the best teams in the nation at getting to the line, the Aggies shouldn’t expect to attempt 18 more free throws again.

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