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Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace pick: Premier League predictions, odds

Sunday’s lone Premier League match will have massive ramifications at both ends of the table.

With a win over Crystal Palace, league-leaders Arsenal would go into the final international break of the season with an eight-point lead over Manchester City with one more match played.

Palace, meanwhile, are now firmly in the relegation battle with just three points separating them from the drop zone. 

Does Palace have a hope of pulling off one of the biggest results of the season?

Crystal Palace vs. Arsenal pick

Patrick Vieira’s Crystal Palace were one of the most impressive teams in the Premier League last season.

The Eagles punched above their weight en route to a 12th-place finish and their expected goal difference suggested they deserved even better. 

Palace’s defense was the driving force behind its success, as the Eagles finished seventh in goals conceded and fifth in expected goals allowed.

That defensive performance is what made Crystal Palace a trendy sleeper pick for the 2022-23 season.

Palace then backed up all that hype with a terrific showing on the Opening Day of the season.

Though they lost, 2-0, to Arsenal, Palace looked a tough nut to crack and probably deserved a better result on that day. Everything was looking up for the Eagles.


Wilfried Zaha of Crystal Palace
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Unfortunately, things have gone awry since that day.

The Eagles have struggled in all phases of the game, but the defense has completely lost the plot compared to what we saw in 2021-22.

The Eagles rank 12th in non-penalty expected goals allowed, 13th in big scoring chances conceded and are the fourth-worst team in the circuit in preventing the opposition from entering their 18-yard box.

It’s a strange twist of events considering this is basically the same unit we saw last year with the same manager.

Arsenal should have no issues breaking down this Palace defense.

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The Gunners take more shots and create more box entries than any team in the Premier League and rank second in both expected goals created and big scoring chances generated.

Arsenal can likely name their score on Sunday.

That said, there are some cracks starting to show in the Arsenal defense.

After a brilliant first half of the season, the Gunners have seen their defensive numbers dip a bit since the World Cup break.

Arsenal still boasts one of the best defenses in the world, but their form has wobbled and Palace could find a way on the scoresheet.

Arsenal should do most of the heavy-lifting for this over 3.5, but Palace can contribute, too.

Crystal Palace vs. Arsenal prediction

Over 3.5 goals (+195, FanDuel)

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Arsenal vs. Manchester United odds, picks

With three wins on the spin, the crisis seems to be over at Manchester United. After unceremoniously dropping their first two matches of the season against Brighton and Brentford, the Red Devils have responded with victories over Liverpool, Southampton and Leicester City to vaulted themselves to fifth-place in the Premier League with a 3-0-2 (W-D-L) record and a -2 goal differential. 

There are still plenty of questions about how good United truly are and if they’ve just been able to take advantage of a relatively soft schedule, but we should have a better idea of where this team is at with a tough match against first-place Arsenal on Sunday. The match will begin at 11:30 a.m. ET and will be broadcast on USA Network.

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While there are still skeptics about the Red Devils, it’s hard to find much fault with Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal through the first five matches of the campaign. Sure, the Gunners have certainly benefited from a soft schedule that’s seen them play Crystal Palace, Bournemouth, Leicester City, Fulham, and Aston Villa, but they’ve passed every test with flying colors and currently sit with the second-best expected goal differential (+7.3) in the league.

Gabriel Jesus celebrates with teammates after scoring a goal on Aug 31.
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Arsenal’s attack seems potent and the arrival of Gabriel Jesus seems to be a huge boost, but it’s the Gunners defense that has been most impressive. Only one team (Man City) has a better xGA rating compared to Arsenal so far. 

United also offer plenty of starpower going forward with Marcus Rashford, Bruno Fernandes, Jadon Sancho, Cristiano Ronaldo and Christian Eriksen, but their defense has been inconsistent out of the gates, though they did seem to take a step in the right direction with back-to-back clean sheets against Southampton and Leicester. 

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All due respect to Saints and the Foxes (and a depleted Liverpool team), this will likely the stiffest test the United defense have faced to date this season and there are still reasons to doubt that the Red Devils can cope. United are still learning Erik ten Hag’s pressing system and are vulnerable to quick attacks when they’re caught out of shape. 

There will come a time to sell high on undefeated Arsenal, but this is not that time. Just consider this: Had this match been played two weeks ago, Arsenal would likely be around +140 on the three-way moneyline. The market has become infatuated with Manchester United once again.

Manchester United vs. Arsenal pick

Arsenal +165

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