Angola to leave OPEC over disagreement on oil production quotas | OPEC News

Oil minister says the country ‘gains nothing’ from remaining in the group after disagreements emerge over production cuts.

Angola says it will leave the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) over a disagreement regarding production quotas, a move that will bring the group down to 12 members.

Speaking on public television on Thursday, Diamantino Azevedo, minister for mineral resources, petroleum and gas, said Angola, which produces about 1.1 million barrels of oil a day, is leaving OPEC because it was not serving the country’s interests.

“We feel that … Angola currently gains nothing by remaining in the organisation and, in defence of its interests, decided to leave,” Azevedo was quoted as saying in a statement issued by the president’s office.

Angola, which first joined OPEC in 2007, has struggled to meet production quotas over the past several years. The country is joining others, such as Qatar and Ecuador, that have left OPEC in the past decade.

Questions about potential production cuts sought by leading oil producers such as Saudi Arabia have been a source of recent debate within the group.

Without Angola, OPEC countries will produce about 27 million barrels of oil per day, about 27 percent of the global supply.

But while Angola was a relatively small player in OPEC, the country’s departure has raised larger questions about the future of the organisation.

Crude prices dropped by more than 1.5 percent after the announcement.

“From an oil market supply perspective, the impact is minimal as oil production in Angola was on a downward trend and higher production would first require higher investments,” said Giovanni Staunovo, a commodity analyst with UBS.

“However, prices still fell on concern of the unity of OPEC+ as a group, but there is no indication that more heavyweights within the alliance intend to follow the path of Angola.”

Oil and gas make up about 90 percent of Angola’s exports and are a crucial economic lifeline for the country.

Last month, Azevedo’s office protested against an OPEC decision to reduce its production quota for 2024, concerned that it would damage Angola’s ability to increase its output capacity.

OPEC and its allies in OPEC+ have agreed to cut production to prop up oil prices.

Angola’s production capacity peaked in 2008 at 2 million barrels per day but has dropped since due to ageing infrastructure.

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OPEC+ agrees voluntary oil production cuts | OPEC News

Saudi Arabia, Russia and other members of OPEC+ agreed to voluntary output cuts for th first quarter of 2024.

OPEC+ producers have agreed to voluntary oil output cuts for the first quarter next year in an attempt to boost the market, but crude prices fell after the move.

Saudi Arabia, Russia and other members of OPEC+, who pump more than 40 percent of the world’s oil, met online on Thursday and issued a statement summarising countries’ voluntary cut announcements.

OPEC+ also invited Brazil to become a member of the group. The country’s energy minister said it hoped to join in January.

Oil prices fell after rising by more than 1 percent earlier in the session after OPEC+ producers agreed to the cuts. Benchmark Brent crude for February futures were over 2 percent lower at just under $81 a barrel at 18:36 GMT.

The group met to discuss 2024 output amid forecasts the market faces a potential surplus and as a 1 million barrel per day (bpd) voluntary cut by Saudi Arabia was set to end next month.

The total curbs amount to 2.2 million bpd from eight producers, OPEC said in a statement. Included in this figure, is an extension of the Saudi and Russian voluntary cuts of 1.3 million bpd.

The 900,000 bpd of additional cuts pledged on Thursday includes 200,000 bpd of fuel export reductions from Russia, with the rest divided among six members.

Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said Russia’s voluntary cut would include crude and products.The UAE said it had agreed to cut output by 163,000 bpd while Iraq said it would cut an extra 220,000 bpd in the first quarter.

Saudi Arabia, Russia, the UAE, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan and Algeria were among producers who said cuts will be unwound gradually after the first quarter, market conditions permitting.

The Saudis have to earn nearly $86 per barrel to meet their planned spending goals, according to the latest estimate from the International Monetary Fund.

Riyadh is trying to fund an ambitious overhaul of the kingdom’s economy, reduce its dependence on oil and create jobs for a young population

While consumers in countries such as the United States have welcomed falling oil prices amid struggles with inflation, oil-producing countries who rely heavily on revenue from the energy sector have sought to arrest that downward momentum.

Reaching a consensus among OPEC+ members, however, has not been easy because they are faced with questions of how production cuts should be split among the group’s 23 member countries.

OPEC+ is expected to convene again in June, and Brazil, one of the world’s 10 largest producers, could be among them.

Mines and Energy Minister Alexandre Silveira said Brazil is eager to join the group although the nature of Brazil’s participation was not immediately clear.

“Considering that Brazil is a large oil producer and is driving oil production growth, it is important to have them on board, but it seems that they are not cutting production like Mexico, so [I] would conclude with: good for OPEC+, less relevant for oil market balances,” UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo told the Agence France-Presse news agency.

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CEOs fixing Biden’s Saudi oil mess because he won’t

Some of Wall Street’s top CEOs spent the last week on a diplomatic mission to ­Saudi Arabia. It wasn’t touted as diplomacy, of course. The financiers who attended the Future Investment Initiative in ­Saudi Arabia, known as “Davos in the Desert,” are a well-scripted bunch who prefer to keep their dealings private whenever possible.

Tough luck. Word leaked to me that what went down was vastly more important than seminars on climate change or whatever else the globalist crowd likes to virtue-signal about.

Rather, I am told by people with knowledge of the matter that the real reason so many top CEOs attended the conference was to forge a truce between the Saudis and the Biden administration. The ongoing and very public bellicosity between the two longtime allies is bad for business, both the CEOs’ and that of the US.

True, Saudi Arabia is a big Wall Street client looking to further modernize its economy through investment-banking deals, while it turns to our financial sector to manage its riches. But the growing consensus among the people who run the US financial system is that having the Saudis as an enemy is among the biggest geo­political and economic mistakes of the mistake-prone Biden administration.

It will embolden the aims of our common enemy, the terrorist regime in Iran, and drive the Kingdom further into the hands of our rivals, Russia and especially China. (Reps from China flooded the conference this year, I am told, and not because they like the desert heat). Plus the bickering will do nothing to satisfy our ­energy needs and save Sleepy Joe Biden’s presidency.

Biden reportedly thought he and the Saudis had made a deal over the summer.
Biden was reportedly blindsided when the Saudis and OPEC announced cuts to oil.
Anadolu Agency via Getty Images

For the unacquainted, what goes down in Riyadh every year for ­almost a decade is very similar to the more established World Economic Forum confab in Davos, Switzerland. Running the show in Riyadh is a more controversial host than milquetoast globalist WEF chief Klaus Schwab.

It’s the crown prince, Mohammed bin Salman — known by haters and admirers alike as MBS. When MBS (now just 37) became the Kingdom’s de facto ruler a few years ago, he was in charge of a country with enormous oil wealth and vast economic potential.

Uneven record

He was also in charge of maintaining the somewhat uncomfortable relationship with us because of his country’s often lousy record on human rights. There were hopes the youthful new leader would enact reforms, soften the Kingdom’s anti-Democratic impulse and modernize its economy away from its reliance on crude.

Let’s just say it hasn’t gone down exactly that way. The crown prince instituted some much-needed changes, such as expanding women’s rights. The Kingdom’s giant oil company, Saudi Aramco, is venturing beyond fuel into areas such as tech. The Saudis have continued to support Israel’s existence, albeit tacitly, and remain an enemy of Iran.

MBS also put a slew of people he deemed potential rivals under house arrest immediately after taking control. Then presidential candidate Biden campaigned in 2020 to make Saudi Arabia a “pariah” nation because the Kingdom hasn’t shed its autocratic leanings, and because MBS is widely blamed for the assassination of a journalist critical of his regime, Jamal Khashoggi.

Many have criticized Biden’s lack of action to get the US more energy independent.
Getty Images

More recently, tensions have gone from bad to worse after our feeble leader sought to cut domestic oil production, traveled to the Middle East and begged the crown prince to increase supply. Biden thought he had a deal until MBS and OPEC announced cuts, prompting the administration to threaten sanctions and maybe more.

OK, I know what you’re saying: This MBS is a bad dude. Wall Street likes him only for his money, his control of Saudi Aramco and the massive state pension fund. Both are growing gushers of investment-banking and money-management fees for the likes of Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, BlackRock etc. — the very same type of people who are telling the White House to back off.

Point taken, but the fat cats who went to Riyadh (JP’s Jamie Dimon, Goldman’s David Solomon, reps for big private-equity and money-management firms) are also saying the world is filled with bad actors. The Saudis are probably the best — and most strategically important — of the bunch.

It’s a geopolitical reality that the Trump administration and prior presidents have accepted, but the progressive zealots currently in charge of Team Biden won’t.

It’s also foolhardy. Biden’s scorched-earth approach to MBS is hurting the American consumer and the country’s national-security interests, and Wall Street executives make the point both to me and their contacts in the White House that our time would be better spent completing pipelines if we really want to lower the cost of fuel here at home.

On top of all that, the recent spat over oil production may not be the one-sided affair the White House and Dems are claiming. In private meetings with CEOs, the Saudis contend the oil-production cut was well-telegraphed no matter what Biden may have thought after his famous fist bump with MBS in July.

‘No choice’ on supply

OPEC’s move is a function of a long-standing desire to keep ­prices from falling below $80-$90 a barrel. Because Biden keeps releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve and with the world economy falling into recession, the Saudis say they had no choice but to cut supply.

If the White House didn’t know that, Sleepy Joe must have been half-asleep during those talks, the Saudis say.

These are all points made by senior Wall Street executives to people in the Biden administration in recent days, I am told. The Wall Streeters get that MBS is no saint, but Sleepy Joe’s weak hand makes the crown prince a necessary evil. Biden should take their advice and focus on some real enemies.

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