Giants have best odds to land No. 1 overall pick

The New York Giants (2-11) are in the throes of one of their worst seasons ever. They lose games in many ways, do not have a franchise quarterback and many experts believe their roster — after a complete overhaul by general manager Joe Schoen since 2022 — is still one of the league’s worst.

Per Tankathon, they are currently projected to select second overall in the 2025 NFL draft behind the Las Vegas Raiders (2-11). But a lot can change over the next month.

The Giants have four games remaining, all against teams vying for the postseason. Their chances of winning a game are slim, so they are looking at a 2-15 or 3-14 finish at best.

But that may not be enough for them to stay at No. 2 or even reach No. 1.

Eight teams, one-quarter of the league, have three or fewer wins after 14 weeks. That’s a high number of underperforming teams.

The Giants are not alone. The New England Patriots, Jacksonville Jaguars, Carolina Panthers, Tennessee Titans, New York Jets, and Cleveland Browns are all sitting at 3-10 this season.

If the Giants stumble into a win over the next four weeks, they’re likely to get into a glut of three-win teams and be pushed down the order vis tiebreakers.

But there is some good news. According to The Athletic’s NFL draft projection model, the Giants actually have the best chance of securing the No. 1 pick. Their 41 percent odds top the Raiders’ 35 percent chance.

No other team has higher than 10 percent odds to land the first overall pick. But that could change with each passing week. The Raiders play the Jacksonville Jaguars (3-10) this week and will also face the Saints (5-8), who struggled to beat the Giants on Sunday with quarterback Derek Carr in the lineup. He’s hurt now.

The Raiders are also dealing with the possibility of quarterback Aidan O’Connell missing the remainder of the season with a knee injury. That means Desmond Ridder is their new starter.