New Fidelity report flags ‘stark contrast’ between Bitcoin and fiat currencies

Bitcoin’s (BTC) future may “stand in stark contrast to the rest of the world,” asset manager Fidelity Investments predicts.

In a recent research piece, “The Rising Dollar and Bitcoin,” released Oct. 10, Fidelity Digital Assets, the firm’s crypto subsidiary, drew a line between Bitcoin and other currencies.

Bitcoin “does not correspond to another person’s liability:” Report

While hardly a stranger to bullish takes on Bitcoin, Fidelity continues to publicly reiterate its faith in the largest cryptocurrency despite the near year-long bear market.

In the report, analysts stated just how far Bitcoin as an asset has diverged from what is currently considered the norm. In the new high-inflation environment, Bitcoin’s fixed issuance and supply are of particular importance.

“Therefore, bitcoin may soon stand in stark contrast to the path that the rest of the world and fiat currencies may take – namely the path of increased supply, additional currency creation, and central bank balance sheet expansion,” they explained.

Related: Bitcoin price ‘easily’ due to hit $2M in six years — Larry Lepard

While the report’s title places influence on the strength of the United States dollar relative to other world currencies, it was the crisis in the British pound that Fidelity highlighted as the kind of event impossible on a Bitcoin standard.

Summing up, the firm forecast that “more monetary debasement may be needed to alleviate the high debt load among developed economies, while recent events in the United Kingdom have shown counterparty and liability risks in the system, making monetary intervention and doses of liquidity features that are not likely to go away any time soon.”

“Comparatively, bitcoin remains one of the few assets that does not correspond to another person’s liability, has no counterparty risk, and has a supply schedule that cannot be changed,” it concluded:

“Whether those properties begin to look more attractive is ultimately up to investors and the market to decide.”

Bitcoin monthly returns chart (screenshot). Source: Coinglass

Volatility remains crypto-sector base case

Elsewhere, Fidelity’s optimistic take on the current state of the Bitcoin network itself diverges from the nervousness of its crypto-sector peers.

The firm’s round-up of research for the month of October pointed to the BTC illiquid supply hitting a ten-year record, as well as surging network fundamentals.

As Cointelegraph reported, meanwhile, in its latest weekly newsletter, “The Week On-Chain,” on-chain analytics firm Glassnode concluded that volatility would be likely what characterized Bitcoin going forward.

“The Bitcoin market is primed for volatility, with both realized and options implied volatility falling to historical lows. On-chain spending behavior is compressing into a decision point, where spot prices intersect with the Short-Term Holder cost basis,” it concluded, summarizing the data points covered.

More widely, traders are preparing for a violent exit of Bitcoin’s narrow trading range within weeks.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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IRS introduces broader ‘Digital Assets’ category ahead of 2022 tax year

American taxpayers will find a broader, more defined category encompassing cryptocurrencies and nonfungible tokens (NFTs) in their 2022 IRS tax forms. The draft bill released by the Internal Revenue Service features a well-defined Digital Assets section that outlines if and how taxpayers will account for the use of cryptocurrencies, stablecoins and NFTs.

Page 16 of the draft defines Digital Assets as any digital representations of the value recorded on a ‘cryptographically secured distributed ledger or any similar technology.’ 2021’s tax form required taxpayers to indicate whether they had received, sold or exchanged in ‘virtual currency’ – with this term changing in the yet-to-issued 1040 tax form for 2022.

Taxpayers are required to answer the Digital Assets section of their income tax return whether or not they have engaged in digital asset transactions during the tax year.

A number of situations will require American taxpayers to indicate yes to the question on Digital Assets of Form 1040 or 1040-SR. This includes receiving as a reward, award or payment for property or services or sold, exchanged, gifted or ‘disposed of a digital asset in 2022.

Related: IRS to summon users who don’t report and pay tax on crypto transactions

This would include instances where an individual received digital assets as payment for property or services provided or as a result of a reward or award. Receiving new digital assets through mining or staking also falls under this category, as does transacting digital assets in exchange for goods or services as well as exchanging or trading digital assets.

Holding cryptocurrencies, stablecoins or NFTs or staking tokens is also clearly addressed in the draft tax form:

“You have a financial interest in a digital asset if you are the owner of record of a digital asset, or have an ownership stake in an account that holds one or more digital assets, including the rights and obligations to acquire a financial interest, or you own a wallet that holds digital assets.”

The Digital Assets explainer also outlined conditions that do not require taxpayers to check Yes on their tax forms. If an individual holds a digital asset in a wallet or account, transfers digital assets from a wallet or account to another wallet or account owned by themselves or acquires digital assets using U.S. dollars or other fiat currencies through electronic platforms like PayPal.

Digital asset transactions can be clearly classed in either capital gains or income sections of the 2022 tax return.

If an individual disposed of any digital asset during the year which was held as a capital asset, they are expected to calculate their capital gain or loss and report on Schedule D of the tax return.

If individuals received digital assets as payment for services or sold digital assets to customers in a trade or business, this would need to be reported as income in its specific category.

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Prosecutors argue ‘insider trading’ claim in the OpenSea case is accurate

United States prosecutors have opposed a motion by a former employee of nonfungible token (NFT) marketplace OpenSea to remove “insider trading” references from his charges.

Prosecutors said the phrase accurately describes the crimes the former OpenSea product manager Nathaniel Chastain is accused of in a memo filed on Oct. 14. It was responding to a motion by Chastain to stop referring to the phrase on Oct. 3, according to Law360.

Chastain was charged in June for allegedly buying 45 NFTs from June to September 2021 through anonymous wallets and selling them for a profit. He allegedly used his position at OpenSea to either choose or know which collections were featured on the homepage, which often saw their values increase.

Chastain argued the use of “insider trading” to describe his alleged actions is “inflammatory” and doesn’t have anything to do with the accusations he faces, adding a jury may be influenced by the term if his case is brought to trial.

He also added that “insider trading” only applies to securities and not to NFTs, a claim similarly made in August by his legal team, and the phrase was used to spark attention in the media to skew the jury’s view of him.

Prosecutors fired back, stating the phrase “accurately captures” the accusations made against him and the term isn’t “so inherently inflammatory” to warrant the “extreme measure” of having the term removed from his charges.

They also rebuked his claim of insider trading only applying to securities calling it a “legal error” and an “unduly cramped understanding of the phrase” claiming it can be used to reference multiple types of fraud in which someone with non-public knowledge uses it to trade assets.

Related: Brother of former Coinbase employee pleads guilty to charges related to insider trading: Report

The term “insider trading” had previously not been used in reference to cryptocurrencies or NFTs before Chastain’s charges.

In June, shortly after Chastain was charged, former U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) lawyer Alma Angotti said the case might see NFTs labeled as securities as they could be considered one under the Howey Test.

The Howey Test is used to determine if a transaction is an “investment contract” which exists when there is the “investment of money in a common enterprise with a reasonable expectation of profits to be derived from the efforts of others,” according to the SEC.

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Here’s why Bitcoin price could tap $21K before Friday’s $510M BTC options expiry

Bitcoin (BTC) has been trying to break above the $20,500 resistance for the past 35 days, with the latest failed attempt on Oct. 6. Meanwhile, bears have displayed strength on four different occasions after BTC tested levels below $18,500 during that period.

Bitcoin/USD price index, 12-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Investors are still unsure whether $18,200 was really the bottom because the support level weakens each time it is tested. That is why it’s important for bulls to keep the momentum during this week’s $510 million options expiry.

The Oct. 21 options expiry is especially relevant because Bitcoin bears can profit $80 million by suppressing BTC below $19,000.

Bears placed their bets at $19,000 and lower

The open interest for the Oct. 21 options expiry is $510 million, but the actual figure will be lower since bears were overly-optimistic. These traders completely missed the mark placing bearish bets at $17,500 and lower after BTC dumped below $19,000 on Oct. 13.

Bitcoin options aggregate open interest for Oct. 21. Source: CoinGlass

The 0.77 call-to-put ratio shows the dominance of the $290 million put (sell) open interest against the $220 million call (buy) options. Nevertheless, as Bitcoin stands near $19,000, most bearish bets will likely become worthless.

If Bitcoin’s price remains above $19,000 at 8:00 am UTC on Oct. 21, only 4% of these put (sell) options will be available. This difference happens because a right to sell Bitcoin at $18,000 or $19,000 is worthless if BTC trades above that level on expiry.

Bulls can still flip the table and secure a $150 million profit

Below are the four most likely scenarios based on the current price action. The number of Bitcoin options contracts available on Oct. 21 for call (bull) and put (bear) instruments varies, depending on the expiry price. The imbalance favoring each side constitutes the theoretical profit:

  • Between $18,000 and $19,000: 0 calls vs. 4,300 puts. The net result favors the put (bear) instruments by $80 million.
  • Between $19,000 and $20,000: 1,500 calls vs. 1,100 puts. The net result is balanced between calls and puts.
  • Between $20,000 and $21,000: 4,300 calls vs. 100 puts. The net result favors the call (bull) instruments by $85 million.
  • Between $21,000 and $22,000: 7,200 calls vs. 0 puts. The net result favors the call (bull) instruments by $150 million.

This crude estimate considers the put options used in bearish bets and the call options exclusively in neutral-to-bullish trades. Even so, this oversimplification disregards more complex investment strategies.

For example, a trader could have sold a put option, effectively gaining positive exposure to Bitcoin above a specific price, but unfortunately, there’s no easy way to estimate this effect.

Related: Sharp Bitcoin price move expected as volatility hangs at record lows and sellers are ‘exhausted’

A few more dips below $19,000 would not be surprising

Bitcoin bears need to push the price below $19,000 to secure an $80 million profit. On the other hand, the bulls’ best-case scenario requires a pump above $21,000 to flip the tables and score a $150 million gain.

Bitcoin bulls had $80 million in leveraged long positions liquidated on Oct. 12 and Oct. 13, so they should have less margin than is required to drive the price higher. Consequently, bears have higher odds of pinning BTC below $19,000 ahead of the Oct. 21 weekly options expiry.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Europe moves toward regulatory action on crypto’s environmental impact, energy use

The European Union (EU) released a package of documents on Oct. 18 related to an action plan for implementing the European Green Deal and the REPowerEU Plan, both of which aim at energy savings by digitalizing the energy sector. The European energy planners have crypto miners in their sights along with myriad other energy users.

The REPowerEU Plan was announced in May as a response to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which has had a profound impact on European energy supplies. The Russian crisis was an opportunity for “fast forwarding the clean transition,” the European Commission said. “Controlling the energy consumption of the ICT sector” is a major part of the plan and includes blockchains among the objects of its attention as a subset of data centers.

The “Commission Staff Working Document” notes that Europe accounts for about 10% of world crypto mining, with Germany and Ireland leading the continent and Sweden experiencing a large uptick in activity after mining was banned in China. The document foresees the European Securities and Markets Authority drafting technical standards for the crypto mining industry.

The authors of the document cited an undated document written by the European Blockchain Observatory and Forum (EUBOF) think tank, which included “potential policy options that could be warranted to mitigate adverse impacts on the climate of technologies used in the crypto-asset market.” That document will be critical to a report on the environmental impact of crypto assets to come in 2025. If steps are taken on EUBOF recommendations, they noted:

“This would be a first attempt worldwide to decrease the attractiveness of bitcoin investments and curb the price of bitcoin.”

The paper also stated that investors need better information about the energy use of cryptocurrencies and, echoing the EUBOF document, that the EU should take the lead in creating international blockchain label standards.

Related: Researchers allege Bitcoin’s climate impact closer to ‘digital crude’ than gold

The “Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions” said energy use for crypto mining has doubled in the last two years. It noted that the proposed Markets in Crypto Assets (MiCA) legislation would require crypto-asset market actors to make environmental disclosures.

In the meantime, due to the tight energy situation this winter due to upheavals in Russian energy supplies, the European Commission, the executive branch of the EU, is urging member states “to implement targeted and proportionate measures to lower the electricity consumption of crypto-asset miners [… and] also in a longer term perspective, to put an end to tax breaks and other fiscal measures benefitting crypto-miners.” Norway is already considering eliminating crypto miners’ tax breaks.

Speaking in Washington recently, Commissioner for Financial Stability, Financial Services and the Capital Markets Union Mairead McGuinness said that Europe placed high importance on the energy and environmental issues connected with crypto. The administration of United States President Joe Biden has also looked at crypto’s environmental impact.



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Users upset that Binance’s wrong crypto network retrieval fees have soared to 500 BUSD

On Oct. 18, the product team at cryptocurrency exchange Binance held an ask-me-anything session with users on Reddit. Of particular interest was a discussion that arose regarding retrieval fees for crypto sent on different networks than the recipient’s wallet address on Binance. According to user Maxx3141, who brought up the issue:

“I accidentally send WETH [wrapped Ether] to my Polygon address two months ago. Your exchange supports Polygon, but just for MATIC. It was only like 100$ in value. I found out you previously could recover this for a 30$ fee, and I thought that was fine. But when I contacted you, I found out you just raised the fee to 500 BUSD.”

Another user, Superb_Dragonfruit63, also raised the issue of having to pay 500 BUSD for crypto retrievals on unmatched transactions, to which the Binance staff responded:

“Token retrieval requires tech and operating effort, which is why we charge a certain fee for processing. It would cost similar effort and time regardless of the value. Thank you for the feedback; we will continue to review our fee structure as we progress.”

Unlike noncustodial wallets, wallets on centralized exchanges require matching the deposit network addresses of the sender and therecipient. Thus, accidents such as sending unlisted tokens or coins on different networks that are otherwise compatible (i.e., sending Bep-20 BNB to an ERC-20 ETH address) will cause the funds to not appear on the exchange’s user interface. Instead, exchange staff must manually access their wallet address to recover the funds.

A few months prior, Binance charged 0.001 BTC (around $40 at the time) to recover users’ funds that had b sent erroneously. However, not everyone felt sympathy for the users voicing their displeasure at the fee increase. One individual, gamma55, wrote a while back in a post on the same issue: 

“Given that Binance needs to pass the issue to someone with privileges to do manual transfers from hot wallets, the fee is pretty normal, really. The normal hourly price for a person of that rank [with access priviledge] is easily hundreds of dollars, so they just bill you what they would for bigger clients. Don’t send coins and tokens on the wrong networks, and it won’t cost you a cent extra. Fifty bucks was too cheap and was probably abused to gain support for unsupported shit.”

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Tech’s good intentions and why Satoshi’s new ‘social order’ foundered

All revolutions have their dogmas, and the cryptocurrency/blockchain insurgency is no different. It’s an article of faith among crypto adherents that decentralization will solve many of society’s ills, including the problem of governance. 

Vili Lehdonvirta — an Oxford University social scientist, book author, and former software developer — disagrees.

“The underlying technology will change and it’s already changing,” he told Cointelegraph last week. “It’s becoming less blockchain-like, less like the original idea of a trustless system,” especially after the Ethereum Merge, where corporate-like ‘staking’ entities will be needed to “uphold the integrity of the chain,” in his view.

Indeed, crypto networks generally could be moving in the direction of centralized digital platforms, “maintained by a bunch of people whom you have to trust, but hopefully you can also hold to account if they turn out to be untrustworthy.”

Lehdonvirta’s new book, Cloud Empires, published by MIT Press, is in part a meditation on the perishability of ideology and/or good intentions. Its subjects are the 21st century’s massive digital platforms like Amazon, Uber and eBay, among others.

Many follow a similar life cycle: Charismatic founders who set out to change the world, guide their enterprises on a dazzling growth path but then crash against a hard wall of reality. They survive this collision, but not always for the better.

Subtitled “How digital platforms are overtaking the State and how we can regain control,” the book has an illuminating chapter on Satoshi Nakamoto and the blockchain technology he created: Its origins, adoption, metamorphosis and ultimate realization that cryptographically secured digital networks couldn’t entirely replace “untrustworthy” human authorities on matters of governance.

There’s Amazon founder Jeff Bezos, “once hailed as a hero who created an ideal business environment for countless independent merchants,” but who eventually transforms into a digital monopolist, turning on merchants, indeed, “extracting extortionate fees and outright stealing lucrative business lines from them.”

Appearing, too, is Uber co-founder Travis Kalanick, initially as a “fierce advocate of free-market solutions,” but he’s later seen fixing fares and regulating the number of cars on the streets. There’s Pierre Omidyar, creator of “the world’s first online reputation system,” who realizes in time that a “bad rep” alone won’t deter malefactors. His enterprise, eBay, evolves “into a central authority that formally regulates its marketplace.”

A social order without institutions

As for Satoshi, blockchain’s elusive pseudonymous founder known to the world principally through a nine-page white paper, “Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System,” published in 2008. “Nakamoto was bothered by how people still had to rely on powerful and opaque financial institutions to manage their finances,” writes Lehdonvirta, a professor of economic sociology and digital social research at the Oxford Internet Institute at the University of Oxford. 

He positions Nakamoto in a line of Digital Age libertarians, beginning with John Barlow, the cyberlibertarian “who dreamed of a virtual society in which order emerged independently of the authority of territorial states.” Nakamoto here is viewed through a political scientist’s lens. Lehdonvirta writes:

“Nakamoto was not interested in making the institutions more democratic. Instead, he wanted to resuscitate the Barlowian dream of a digital social order that wouldn’t need such institutions in the first place — no bureaucrats, no politicians who inevitably betrayed their electorates’ trust, no elections rigged by corporations, no corporate overlords. Nakamoto still thought that such a social order could be created with technology — and in particular, with cryptographic technology.”

Satoshi wasn’t the first to seek “political liberation” through cryptography. A subculture of “cypherpunks” and “crypto-anarchists” had been propounding that creed for decades, “But after years of work, they still had not succeeded in building viable payment platforms.”

Recent: How decentralized exchanges have evolved and why it’s good for users

Yet, Satoshi appears to succeed where others failed — at first, anyway. What did he do differently? The short answer: He rotated record-keepers.

This revelation may seem underwhelming, especially as crypto miners have been vilified in recent years as would-be monopolists and eco-sinners. But, in Lehdonvirta’s telling, Bitcoin’s miners are really just network administrators, i.e., “record-keepers.” Their job, as originally conceived, was:

“To go through recently issued payment instructions, check that they were valid, and collate them into a record known as a block — an official record of transactions that could be used to determine who owned what in the system. Of course, the administrator would not have to check transactions by hand: all the work would be done automatically by the peer-to-peer ‘banking software’ running on their computer.”

After about 10 minutes, “the next randomly appointed administrator would take over, double check the previous block of records, and append their own block to it, forming a chain of blocks.”

Rotating judges each day

What makes this Bitcoin genesis story different — a sort of tour de force, arguably — is the author’s ability to put Satoshi in historical context. Nakamoto was wrestling with a classic governance quandary — “who is guarding the guardians” — one that goes back to the ancient Greeks. 

The city-state of Athens grappled with this problem 2,600 years ago at the time of Solon the Lawgiver. Lehdonvirta writes, “Instead of trying to make government administrators more trustworthy, he [Solon] took a different approach: he wanted to make trustworthiness matter less.”

Solon even had a machine to do this — a piece of ancient Greek technology called a “kleroterion,” or “allotment machine,” was a huge slab of stone with carved slots or matrices that was filled with bronze plates inscribed with the names of Athenian citizens. These were randomly selected each day by bouncing white and black balls:

“Using the kleroterion, random people were selected to serve as government administrators in ancient Athens. Magistrates were appointed in this fashion annually. Judges were re-selected every morning.”

Cloud Empires compares Nakamoto’s ledger validators with the kleroterion:

“The responsibility for checking balances could circulate randomly between users, a little like how administrator posts circulated randomly between citizens in ancient Athens. Where Athenians used the kleroterion to rotate administrators every twenty-four hours, Nakamoto’s scheme used an algorithm to rotate the administrator approximately every ten minutes…”

The justification in both instances was to avoid the corruption that inevitably comes with the concentration of power:

“Just like in ancient Athens, this constant circulation of responsibility meant that the administration would be extremely difficult to corrupt. […] As long as a majority of the peers remained honest, the platform could maintain orderly records without any single trusted authority. Belief in good intentions was replaced with technological certainty. The problem of trust appeared to be solved.”

People remain in charge — still 

Alas, if only it were so simple. As often happens in Cloud Empires, innovation, good intentions, and high-mindedness travel only so far before they run up against human nature. Here the defining event was The DAO Hack of 2016, “a catastrophe for The DAO and its investors but also for the entire Ethereum platform,” where an unknown attacker drained 3.6 million Ether (ETH) from The DAO project, the world’s first decentralized autonomous organization. 

The hack was reversed by a hard fork of the Ethereum network. The network basically hit the reset button, excising the ledger’s most recent transactions and resuming where things stood immediately before the attack. Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin and the network’s core developers held a referendum before this radical step was taken that supported their recommendations, but opponents still maintained that this amounted to changing the rules retroactively.

“The crisis revealed how a peer-to-peer blockchain system in the end was never really ‘trustless,’” concludes Lehdonvirta. “The network may have enforced its rules with robotic impartiality, but people were still in charge of making and amending the rules. In this instance, people decided to amend the rules to confiscate a person’s holdings and return them to their previous owners. […] Funds placed in the system were still ultimately entrusted to the care of people, not cryptography. The problem of trust remained unsolved.”

According to Lehdonvirta, The DAO hack raised again the “age-old problem of political science that troubled ancient Athenians, too: The authorities protect us, but who will protect us from the authorities? How can we hold power to account?”

Resisting autocracy

In an interview with Cointelegraph last week, Lehdonvirta was asked: Given the myriad disappointments chronicled in Cloud Empires, do you see reasons to be hopeful about digital platforms? Is there anything that makes you optimistic?

“People are realizing: ‘I’m not living in the libertarian utopia that Barlow and other visionaries in Silicon Valley promised me. I’m actually living in an autocracy,’” Lehdonvirta answered. “People are realizing this and they’ve started to push back.”

He provides examples in his book. Andrew Gazdecki, an entrepreneur, bands together with other businesses when trillion-dollar company Apple threatens to close down his enterprise. “And they actually win for themselves the right to continue doing business. And that’s not the only example. We had Etsy sellers in April this year — 30,000 Etsy sellers went on strike” when that marketplace raised transaction fees for its independent sellers by 30%. “People are not taking it,” Lehdonvirta told Cointelegraph.

As for the crypto space specifically, “what’s really interesting” is that there are now a “lot of people imagining different ways of organizing society, different ways of organizing the economy,” he said.

“Maybe the underlying technology blockchain turns out to be not as useful and not as revolutionary as was originally thought, but they’re still trying to come up with new ways of organizing society,” as through decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs), for example. “I mean, does it make that any less valuable? I think people can in some way go even further if they don’t constrain themselves by this sort of a blockchain dogma.”

He was asked about the kleroterion and ancient Greece — where did all that come from? As a “fellow” of Oxford University’s Jesus College, Lehdonvirta dines regularly with fellows from many disciplines, including historians and classicists, he explained. One lunch partner was an expert on ancient Greece who also happened to be “super curious about Bitcoin.”

“I don’t remember exactly how the kleroterion came up. I found it in my readings somewhere. But basically the connection between Bitcoin and ancient Greece came about because I dine in a college together with experts of ancient Greece.”

Recent: What new EU sanctions mean for crypto exchanges and their Russian clients

As the crypto space evolves, he sees other hybrid types participating, including social scientists like himself. “I think what’s really interesting is that a lot of crypto people are becoming more and more interested in social and political science.” They’re realizing that many systems and projects are failing not because anything is wrong with the technology as such but because the governance has failed. He told Cointelegraph:

“Humanity has been developing governance systems for thousands of years. We’ve figured out some things that work and some things that don’t work. So why don’t we build on that in the same way as when we do software development.” 

Programmers don’t build everything from scratch, from primitives, after all. They use well-known libraries and components to build software. “Why not the same with governance?”

All in all, the Finnish-born social scientist seems to think that the intellectual ferment unleashed by Satoshi Nakamoto, 13 years might still evolve into something novel and useful in the organizational and governance sense, even if the technology itself never quite lives up to its high expectations.

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Cardano Finds Breathing Room At $0.35 Support

Cardano is somehow keeping in-step with cryptocurrency frontrunners Bitcoin and Ethereum, sitting on price increase on its intraday chart.

  • Cardano failed to hold the $0.41 crucial support range and settle to the new support marker of $0.36
  • ADA is forecasted to trade from $.0403 to $0.416 in the coming days
  • Cardano addresses grow despite bearish market sentiments

Tracking from Coingecko shows the smart contract token is trading at $0.371, raising its price by almost 1% during a 24-hour period.

The altcoin, however, continues to struggle as it remains in the red zone on its 7-day and 14-day metrics, going down by 7.6% and 13.3%, respectively.

Investors, holders and traders are keeping close watch on the price movement of the crypto as it tries to bounce back after failing to sustain the $0.41 crucial support marker.

At first it appeared the asset was in for another steep fall, but it managed to cling into a new support range which could prove to be significant in determining the trend of its next price rally.

Cardano Hangs On To $0.35 Support 

As seen from Cardano’s trading chart, the Bollinger band (blue line) continued to drop as ADA failed to hold the critical $0.41. It only stopped upon reaching the $0.35 marker.

Source: TradingView

Meanwhile, the crypto’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) tallied a low value of 23.4 which indicated Cardano was in oversold position and is primed for a price uptick.

If ADA manages to sustain its new support marker, a surge ranging from $0.403 to $0.416 will likely to happen over the next few days, enabling the token to start its own recovery along with other members of the crypto space.

However, if Cardano fails to hold this position again, bears will be given opportunity to gain profit as ADA will likely fall all the way to $0.336.

ADA Addresses Grow Despite Weak Value

In September 2021, Cardano managed to hit an all-time high value of $3.09. The crypto, however, already lost 80% of that value and continues to struggle to get even just to $1 marker.

But despite the immense price tanking that the asset continues to experience since hitting its ATH, retail investors seem to be unfazed.

In fact there is a noticeable increase of ADA addresses, indicating the crypto is still commanding interest among participants in crypto space.

Holders of 100 to 1,000 Cardano tokens are now accounting for 1.15% of the network’s circulating supply, going up by 0.23% from the previous tally of 0.92%.

Meanwhile, an almost identical increase is also observed to holders of 1,000 to 10,000 ADA coins which grew by 0.59%.

ADA market cap at $12 billion on the daily chart | Featured image from Shutterstock, Chart: TradingView.com

Disclaimer: The analysis represents the author's personal views and should not be construed as investment advice.

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Web3 infrastructure firm ChainSafe raises $18.75M as attention shifts to GameFi

Canadian Web3 infrastructure company ChainSafe has closed an $18.75 million funding round that was backed by prominent industry venture firms, putting the company on track to expand operations at a time when demand for blockchain infrastructure and gaming services was on the rise.

The Series A round was led by venture firm Round13 with additional participation from NGC Ventures, HashKey Capital, Sfermion, Jsquare, ConsenSys, Digital Finance Group and Fenbushi Capital. ChainSafe said the funding would go toward supporting the growth and adoption of Web3 technology.

ChainSafe’s founding team met at an Ethereum meetup in Toronto in 2017. Later that year, ChainSafe was founded as a blockchain research and development firm. The company mainly focuses on multi-chain R&D and other Web3 umbrella technologies and has developed a software development kit connecting games built on the Unity platform to the blockchain.

Following the launch of CryptoKitties in 2017, the marriage between gaming and blockchain technology has only grown stronger. As reported by Cointelegraph, the market capitalization of blockchain games was around $25 billion at the start of 2022. While crypto market capitalization has declined markedly over the past six months, which has impacted the blockchain gaming sector, venture capital continues to invest heavily in the space. According to DappRadar, blockchain games and metaverse projects raised $1.3 billion in venture financing in the third quarter alone.

Related: Japanese gaming giant’s hiring spree ahead of NFT marketplace

While estimates vary, blockchain gaming, or GameFi as it is often called, could see high multi-billion-dollar valuations in the coming years. Those close to the industry say that blockchain games will benefit from the roughly 1 billion online gaming streamers expected by 2025.



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Bitcoin price ‘easily’ due to hit $2M in six years — Larry Lepard

Bitcoin (BTC) is on track to hit a massive $2 million within six years, asset management guru Lawrence “Larry” Lepard believes.

In his latest appearance on the Quoth the Raven podcast Oct. 16, Lepard said that BTC/USD could “easily” deliver 100X returns from current prices.

Lepard: “I personally believe Bitcoin’s going to go up 100X”

With Bitcoin in a downtrend for almost a year, bullish BTC price predictions are few and far between.

Lepard, already known for his optimism on both Bitcoin and precious metals, has become one of the lone voices forecasting a seven-figure BTC price tag in the current environment.

In his podcast appearance, the Equity Management Associates founder revealed that he is still dollar cost averaging into BTC — buying a fixed amount every week, regardless of the price.

He also views it as a “risk” not to own BTC as a hedge in what he calls a “sovereign debt crisis.”

“I’m not suggesting anyone should take all of their money and dump it into these things, but what I am suggesting very strongly is that anyone who doesn’t have some position in these things is taking more risk than they need to take because of the upside optionality,” he explained.

“Bitcoin could go to zero but I personally believe Bitcoin’s going to go up 100X.”

Asked whether he therefore agreed that a single bitcoin could end up being worth $2 million — one hundred times more than the current spot price — Lepard did not hesitate.

“Yeah, easily, easily,” he replied, setting the timeframe for the gains to materialize as five or six years.

Lepard added that the next macro top for BTC/USD should be up to $200,000, followed by another 70% drawdown.

That prediction is roughly in line with another price basis emerging in recent days, putting the next cycle’s bear market bottom at $35,000.

BTC/USD traded at around $19,600 at the time of writing, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed, having hit one-week highs on the day

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

$14,000 reinforced as buy zone

Lofty perspectives on BTC price performance are historically nothing new to the space, but few have ended up coming true.

Related: ‘Get ready’ for BTC volatility — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

Among those yet to be vindicated are serial investor Tim Draper, who even recently remained confident about Bitcoin reaching $250,000 in 2022 or early 2023.

In April, Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Investment Management, doubled down on a $1 million BTC target.

Prior to that, meanwhile, Tom Lee, co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors, maintained the firm’s $200,000 BTC price target despite the bear market already knocking. 

Closer to home, meanwhile, $14,000 has become a popular downside target, one which Lepard himself shares.

He said that he would “back up the truck” should BTC/USD reach that level.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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